The argument that the US could even consider invading Iran anytime soon is nuts. With what? Blackwater mercs? Or maybe as the Iraq exit strategy?

It would also be economic suicide. This article is interesting:

Attack on Iran would rocket oil prices to 400 dollars

Thu. 29 Sep 2005

Tehran, Iran, Sep. 29 – Oil prices on the international markets would shoot up to $400 a barrel if an attack were to be carried out on Iran, a senior Revolutionary Guards commander warned, Persian-language websites reported on Thursday.

Brigadier General Hassan Abbasi, who heads the Centre for Research on Security Without Borders Doctrines, speaking in the town of Karaj, said that until now negotiations with the Islamic Republic over its suspected nuclear weapons program were carried out in the framework of one of three doctrines; “Carrot and Stick”, “Good Cop, Bad Cop”, and “Trigger Mechanism”.

Abbasi described the West’s latest doctrine vis-à-vis Iran’s sensitive nuclear work as the “Chicken Strategy”, where “both parties follow a collision course at such fast speeds until one side eventually backs off”.

“This is the first time when the strategic balance between both sides is equal and Iran’s strategic stance is no longer from a position of weakness”, Abbasi said.

The Revolutionary Guards General criticised Tehran’s previous policy of allowing international monitors to inspect a number of Iran’s nuclear facilities as well as suspending uranium enrichment activities. Abbasi warned that such a weak policy had run the risk of “the enemy defeating a country of 70 million people”.

“Given the West’s new doctrine against Iran, our country’s officials must resist to the last moment”, Abbasi insisted, adding that they must make use of the country’s geo-strategic position and economic advantages, such as its immense oil reserves, so as to never back down from their stance.

“All of this is at a time when the West’s problem is simply a shaky economy dependent on oil”.

“During last year’s evaluations of various theoretical outcomes, we reached the conclusion that in the event of an oil sales embargo on Iran the price of oil would reach 110 dollars and in the case of a military attack on Iran its price would reach 400 dollars. Therefore, knowing the West’s strategic knowledge of this matter, the oil sanction and military attack options against Iran are just a bluff.”

The senior Revolutionary Guards commander summed up by stating that Iran’s international nuclear stand-off had not reached an unmanageable crisis point and that Tehran had to continue its offensive.

With what? Blackwater mercs?

Feel a Draft?

Good plan, they invade Iran at the last possible minute and leave all the work to the next president, who I doubt it would be yet another republican

Feel a Draft?

Yeah, but even so, to get enough troops prepped to invade Iran would take too long and be too costly to be feasible. Especially with the situation in Iraq, and with Iran already threatening to use oil as a weapon- against the US’s already fucked economy (and “the west” in general). Though I have no doubt that there are plans already drawn up on how to do it the “right way” in light of the clusterfuck that the Iraq “cakewalk” has become. It just doesn’t fit in my book of likely scenarios.

Besides, isn’t south america next?

If Iran was such a threat, you’d think there would be some countries other than Israel and the US saying Iran is a threat, and/or doing something about it. Countries that are a little closer and would be more at risk like say Russia.

Iran is not a threat. this is not about threats. this is about being a threat, and acting upon that power. this is about geo-strategic and economic global supremacy, and full spectrum dominance. this is about a new world order.

Besides, isn’t south america next?

Venezuela is already buying all kinds of weapons, so soon they’ll be even thougher than Iran.

Plus theres Brasil that has a pretty big army and the capacity to create an atomic bomb in no time. Mix that with the little distance to the US and you’ve the perfect recipe for complete destruction

Iran’s only threat is to the US economy throught their oil bourse. Euro oil trading led the hawks to Iraq, it will take them to Iran. One of the first things they will do is revert the trades back to USD.

I really don’t think 400USD oil will put the neocons off. It might actually encourage them because it will increase demand for dollars and thus inject stability into the petrodollar, which will enable them to increase their budget deficits even more. They don’t care about Americans and how much they pay for oil, all they care about is stealing taxpayers money to give it to their corporate backers.

Appreciate the war pimp thread Shift, and all the other hubs you’ve got going.

Is it possible that this is mere sabre-rattling – possibly they’ll keep Iran as a bogeyman for later? Like they did with Saddam in the early ’90’s?

If true, great news! I know that Iran is more developed politically than Iraq, and Iranian’s have a for less violent and far more sophisticated political culture. This war would be a quick overthrow followed by a quite move to democracy.

Fantastic if true. However I suspect that since I didn’t read about this matter in a mainstream source, it is unlikely true.

I suspect that since I didn’t read about this matter in a mainstream source, it is unlikely true.

yeah, mainstream media always tells the truth. LOL

which brings me to another question: if you think only mainstream media reports the truth, what the hell are you doing here?!?

I know that Iran is more developed politically than Iraq, and Iranian’s have a for less violent and far more sophisticated political culture. This war would be a quick overthrow followed by a quite move to democracy.

Iran already has a democracy.

British drum beating

Butt – Is it possible that this is mere sabre-rattling – possibly they’ll keep Iran as a bogeyman for later?

That’s kind of what I was thinking. There’s no way the US gov would put themselves in a position of an oil embargo or disruption in Iran at least until Iraq’s facilities are fully operating. Unless, of course, the plan is to have a major oil shock and crash the economy. I guess that’s possible, but seems unlikely.